He has some of the most average career numbers imaginable: 106-106, 4.02 ERA
Friday, July 31, 2009
He has some of the most average career numbers imaginable: 106-106, 4.02 ERA
Thursday, July 30, 2009
10. Twins: 16
As long as Matt Cain and Tim Lincecum continue to do a pretty good Drysdale/Koufax impression, they could be ok for a while. If they can win the World Series with this lineup, that would be one of the great accomplishments (and anomalies) in history.
Batting Average, OPS
April: .319, .1114
May: .235, .709
June: .287, .908
July: .169, .585
Before All-Star Break: .268, .875
Since All-Star Break: .135, .408 (0 XBH)
He's not the only one who has struggled...
Team Batting Average, OPS
Pre All Star Break: .259, .750
Post All Star Break: .249, .722
Right now, they can count on...
Reason to hope...
Why aren't they trying to add offense? The Pirates are trading away their whole team, maybe they have someone.
It is going to be frustrating for the Tigers and their fans because they have such a good shot at the playoffs, but they might not be able to score enough runs. With Verlander and Edwin Jackson, they could match up with almost anyone in a short series.
The offense could turn around and be good enough, but it seems unlikely with the current lineup. They need to add offense, and it has not happened yet.
Wednesday, July 29, 2009
Overall: 12-5, 3.16 ERA, 172 SO, 43 BB
First 4 starts: 0-2, 9.00 ERA, 25 SO, 9 BB
Last 18 starts: 12-3, 2.26 ERA, 147 SO, 34 BB
Home: 7-0, 1.15 ERA (1st in baseball), 74 SO, 23 BB, .183 Opp. BA (1st in baseball)
Away: 5-5, 4.71 ERA (3.13 since April 22nd), 98 SO, 20 BB
His early struggles might cost him the Cy Young Award, although he is in the discussion right now and has time to put up the numbers to win it.
It's a great bounceback performance for Verlander, who was 11-17 with a 4.87 ERA in 2008. He has really improved his strikeout rate and lowered his walk rate this year over his previous performance.
The one thing he probably really wants to do is make up for his mediocre postseason performance in 2006: 1-2, 5.82 ERA and 2 errors.
Cliff Lee's masterful 2008 season:
Monday, July 27, 2009
Albert Pujols (Cardinals) - .1132
Joey Votto (Reds) - .1040
Prince Fielder (Brewers) - .1022
Joe Mauer (Twins) -.1020
Raul Ibanez (Phillies) .1009
Josh Willingham (Nationals) .1007
Ok, 4 of them are legitimate MVP-candidates (or will at least receive a lot of votes): Pujols, Fielder, Mauer, Ibanez. Then, there is Joey Votto and...
Josh Willingham, who was a part-time outfielder for the Nationals most of the season, but has has really hit the last few months, and hit 2 grand slams tonight. He's had some good seasons before and shown promise, but I don't think anyone saw this coming.
2008 (Marlins): .254 (BA), .364 (OBP), .470 (SLG), .854 (OPS)
2009 (Nationals): .298, .410, .596, .1007
If the Nationals were going to trade Willingham, the price probably just keeps going up. He would probably be a good fit for the Tigers, but who knows if they would make that move. Even with his great numbers, they were brought down by a miserable April:
April: .143 Batting Average, 1 HR, .559 OPS
May-present: .326, 15 HR, .1079 OPS
Sunday, July 26, 2009
0 runs allowed - 35 times
1 run allowed - 3
3 runs - 1
Saturday, July 25, 2009
Bruce Sutter (1976-1988)
Rich "Goose" Gossage (1972-1989, 1991-1994)
Dennis Eckersley (1975-1998)
Rollie Fingers (1968-1985)
They were all closers, and while Eckersley was a starter for the first decade of his career, he was not a good enough starter (generally around .500) to make the Hall of Fame from that.
Bert Blyleven (1970-1992) has 287 wins, and Jack Morris (1977-1994) has his supporters, but they're not close to getting in right now.
Greg Maddux (1986-2008) is probably a lock for 2014, but that would mean there are no starting pitchers that started their career between 1967 (Steve Carlton) and 1986 (Maddux). There were a lot of very good pitchers from this era (Fernando, Hersheiser, Saberhagen, Ron Guidry, Doc Gooden, Vida Blue), but none of them put together Hall of Fame careers.
In 2009 Hall of Fame voting, Bert Blyleven was at 62.9% and Jack Morris was at 44%. The last pitcher from this period to crack 10% other than Blyleven or Morris?
Orel Hersheiser (1983-2000) in 2006 (11.2%), which fell to 4.4% in 2007 and 0% in 2008.
Baseball Crank also weighed in to agree that history will be forgiving and all the great players should be in the Hall, regardless of steroid use.
I guess you need to separate the debate over Bonds and Clemens making it into the Hall of Fame in 20 years and people living to be 1,000. Even if everyone is taking steroids in the future and wondering why all the fuss, I still wonder about about how this era will be viewed. There will also be the problem of not knowing exactly how many steroids certain players used (one time vs. entire season or career).
Read it if you haven't yet, it is thought-provoking and this is how it ends (he talks a lot about Will Clark throughout):
The end of the day here is about the year 2040, perhaps 2050. It will come upon us in a flash. And, at the end of the day, Mark McGwire is going to be in the Hall of Fame, and Roger Clemens, and Sammy Sosa, and Rafael Palmeiro, and probably even Barry Bonds. I am not especiallyadvocating this; I simply think that is the way it is. I only hope that, when all of these players are enshrined, they will extend a hand up to a few players from the Will Clark division of the game.
Friday, July 24, 2009
I wouldn't expect the same production with the Cardinals that he had with the Rockies because Colorado always inflates the stats at least a little (more likely a lot).
Career Batting Average, OPS
Home: .349, .1047 (.357, .1068 at Coors Field)
Away: .281, .801
2009 w/ Athletics
.286, .831, 11 HR, 54 RBI
In a good environment like St. Louis he would seem to be a solid .300, 25-30 HR, 100 RBI middle of the lineup hitter.
Larry Walker, another good player who looked like a combination of Babe Ruth and Ted Williams when he played at Coors Field, played a key role with the 2004 Cardinals. Walker was a .381 career hitter (and a .710 slugging %) in 2500 at bats at Coors Field and a .278 hitter on the road.
After being traded to the Cardinals in 2004, he hit .280 with 11 home runs in 44 games. He even hit .357 in the World Series. Walker was near the end of his career and 37 when he was traded, whereas Holliday is 29, but the same principal still applies.
In 1999, when Walker hit .379 and won the batting title, he hit:
Home - .461 (not a misprint)
Road - .286
When he played in Colorado, Holliday put up numbers comparable to Albert Pujols, such as his 2007 season (.340, 216 hits, 50 doubles, 36 home runs, 137 RBI). He's not Albert Pujols, and will almost certainly not put up numbers like that in St. Louis, but he will be a valuable addition to the Cardinals. He will have a lot of runners on base in front of him (especially Albert with his .450 OBP), so he could get a lot of RBI.
The Matt Holliday of his Colorado days might be able to somewhat protect Albert Pujols in the lineup, but no one can do that now. Hopefully fans know what to expect from Holliday, and that it's probably not Pujols-like numbers. It is constantly said that St. Louis fans are the most knowledgeable in all of baseball, so it shouldn't be a problem.
.673 Winning % (10th All-Time)
2 20-Win seasons (2003, 2008)
6 All-Star Games
2003 Cy Young Award
(2nd Place Finish) 2008 Cy Young Award
He is 10th all-time in winning percentage, for a team that has not made the playoffs and has basically been a .500 team over this decade.
As a baseball fan, I would like to see him have the opportunity to pitch in the playoffs. He could be a big-game pitcher in the playoffs like Josh Beckett or John Smoltz.
If he goes to the Phillies (as many have speculated), he has a good chance at that, and helping them repeat as World Champions. He could get another start even if he is traded because it's only the 23rd, but these trades can come at unpredictable times.
Thursday, July 23, 2009
Could Mark Buehrle pitch his way into the Hall of Fame with a few more no-hitters, or would he be seen as a really good pitcher with a strange ability to pitch no-hitters? He's on a good pace for wins, having just turned 30 and having 132 wins. If he stays healthy, it is easy to imagine him reaching 200 wins (or 250 if he stays past his retire-in-2012 pledge).
His ERA is a little high at 3.78 and has never been under 3.00. That would probably have to change, and he's never really competed for a Cy Young Award. It is a bit of a mystery how a guy that has a perfect game and a no-hitter isn't more dominant. Still, if he ends his career with 250 wins and 4 no-hitters, I wonder how much it would be factored in.
Nolan Ryan - 7
Sandy Koufax - 4
Bob Feller - 3
Cy Young - 3
Right now, he's tied with Hideo Nomo, Bob Forsch, Steve Busby, Bill Stoneman, Ken Holtzman, Jim Maloney, Don Wilson and others.
Looking at his numbers, there is no reason to think he would ever throw a no-hitter: he allows a lot of hits. But, apparently, he has a talent for it and it is interesting to think how it would affect his career if he threw 2 more. Remember, he's only 30 and could have 8-10 years left (or longer). He has said that he will retire at the end of his contract in 2012, at the age of 33, so that would be a serious impediment if he followed through. If he decided to stick around for a few years after that, this would be an interesting scenario.
There has only been one month since 2000 that a team has scored more than 200 runs: July 2007 when the Yankees scored 202 runs.
In July, the Angels are hitting a ridiculous .316 as a team and have scored 128 runs through 18 games. That equals a little over 7 runs a game, which would put them at 199 runs if they play 28 games this month. They probably will not be able to top 200 runs because they will have fewer games due to the All-Star Game.
Pretty much everyone on the team has been hot this month, but one player stands out and its not who you would expect: Erick Aybar, the SS for the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim.
Erick Aybar is hitting .466 in July, by far the best in baseball during July of all players with at least 50 plate appearances. Entering July, he was a .264 career hitter (now he's up to .278). Out of 15 games, he has at least 2 hits in 10 games (including 3 3-hit games and a 4-hit game)
It's always fun to see players emerge who you wouldn't expect. This might the beginning of him being an offensive force, or he could revert to his old form. We'll just have to wait and see.
Wednesday, July 22, 2009
J.D. Drew: 0-18 (7-55 in July)
Of all pitchers to start their careers since 1930, only 4 pitchers have matched the following numbers:
.650 Winning %, 130 Wins, Sub-3.20 ERA
Whitey Ford (Hall of Fame)
Roger Clemens (uhhh...never mind)
Sandy Koufax (Hall of Fame)
Roy Oswalt (?)
If you add in 3.00 Strikeout-to-Walk Ratio, the list is reduced to 1 pitcher...
He is at it again right now, having turned around a down (for him, anyway) season by going 3-0 with a 1.65 ERA in his last 5 starts.
Tuesday, July 21, 2009
Martin Prado (of course), 2nd baseman for the Braves: .351, 9 doubles, 26 hits, 14 runs.
The only other players in baseball who have .350, with 20 hits, 12 runs and 5 doubles in July:
Also, among all players with at least 100 plate appearances hitting 2nd in the lineup, he is second best, at .357 with a .988 OPS. Almost all of those at-bats have come since the end of June.
He's played well in the past, hitting .320 with over 200 at-bats in 2008, but had not settled into a starting role until recently. It seems like he has settled in there very nicely, in between Nate McLouth and Chipper Jones.
Prado took over the 2nd spot in the lineup in late June when Yunel Escobar was dropped down in the lineup and Prado replaced Kelly Johnson as starting 2nd baseman after Johnson struggled mightily in June.
It's worked very nicely: In July, the Braves have scored the 2nd most runs in baseball, behind only the Angels. In June, they were ranked 26th in runs. They are 13-6 since June 28th and only 4 games out in the weak NL Wild Race. It was not a blockbuster move, but it has had a huge effect on the Braves.
Surfer Sam presents New !! Famous Baseball Players and Their Teams posted at Surfer Sam and Friends.
Bill Mckillop presents NO-Omar Minaya posted at The Fair Ball.
Brian Akin presents Trade Theory for Professional Baseball posted at Dear (Tommy) John Letters.
Robert Galway presents Weight Loss posted at Robs Sports and Fitness.
Thank you to those who submitted this week and please submit more articles for the upcoming editions. If anyone would like to submit, please use the Carnival Submission Form. For future info, please consult the Baseball In-Depth Carnival Index Page.
Monday, July 20, 2009
There are 20 players in baseball with at least 20 home runs and 4 of them are on the Phillies (Raul Ibanez, Chase Utley, Ryan Howard and Jayson Werth). During July, they are 3rd in runs scored, 4th in home runs and 3rd in ERA (24th for the whole season).
Who knows whether Pedro Martinez will help (or even pitch) or about any other acquisitions, but they look really good. The NLCS was between the Phillies and the Dodgers last year, and it doesn't look like there is any reason that will not happen again.
Sunday, July 19, 2009
He's got a good chance at 20 wins, which would be an amazing accomplishment for a pitcher on the Colorado Rockies. He's had a decent career, but he was only 37-34 with a 5.08 ERA in 2006-2008 with the Cardinals and Cubs.
His other stats aren't overwhelming (61 Strikeouts in 131 innings) and he's not winning the Cy Young Award, but he is having a really good year, and has a decent shot at being the ace on a postseason team.
April - Miguel Cabrera (Marlins) 9
May - Ken Griffey Jr. (Reds) 10
June - Jim Thome (Phillies) 15
July - Jim Edmonds (Cardinals), Carlos Lee (White Sox), Mark Teixeira (Rangers) 13
August - Adrian Beltre (Dodgers) 13
September - Vladimir Guerrero (Angels) 10
April - Alex Rodriguez (Yankees) 9
May - Bobby Abreu (Phillies) 11
June - Andruw Jones (Braves) 13
July - Jason Giambi (Yankees) 14
August - Alex Rodriguez (Yankees) 12
September - David Ortiz (Red Sox), Randy Winn (Mariners/Giants), Lance Berkman (Astros), Travis Hafner (Indians) 11
April - Albert Pujols (Cardinals) 14
May - Ryan Howard (Phillies) 13
June - Jason Giambi (Yankees) 11
July - David Ortiz (Red Sox) 14
August - Ryan Howard (Phillies) 14
September - Frank Thomas (A's), Chase Utley (Phillies), Matt Holliday (Rockies) 10
April - Alex Rodriguez (Yankees) 14
May - Prince Fielder (Brewers) 13
June - Alfonso Soriano (Cubs) 11
July - Hideki Matsui (Yankees) 13
August - Miguel Tejada (Orioles), Magglio Ordonez (Tigers), Pat Burrell (Phillies), Mark Teixeria (Rangers/Braves) 10
September - Alfonso Soriano (Cubs) 14
April - Chase Utley (Phillies) 10
May - Dan Uggla (Marlins) 12
June - JD Drew (Red Sox) 12
July - Adam Dunn (Reds) 12
August - Ty Wiggington (Astros) 12
September - Ryan Howard (Phillies) 11
April - Carlos Pena (Rays), Adrian Gonzalez (Padres) 9
May - Mark Teixeira (Yankees) 13
June - Albert Pujols (Cardinals) 14
July - Derrek Lee (Cubs), Garrett Jones (Pirates) 7
Multiple Times: Alex Rogriguez (3), Ryan Howard (3), Mark Teixeira (3), Chase Utley (2), Jason Giambi (2), Albert Pujols (2), Alfonso Soriano (2), David Ortiz (2)
Highest: 15 - June 2004, Jim Thome (Phillies)
Most Surprising: Garrett Jones (July 2009), Ty Wigginton (August 2008), Randy Winn (September 2005)
Teams: Phillies (8), Yankees (6), Cardinals (3), Red Sox (3), Cubs (3)
Most Impressive Performance: Jason Giambi - July 2005: 14 HR in 76 at bats
How did he miss it? Manny Ramirez
Saturday, July 18, 2009
4 Cy Young Awards
17 straight 15-win seasons
3371 Strikeouts with only 999 walks
Yeah, 999 walks. Despite pitching in the Majors for 23 years and over 5000 innings, he did not walk that 1000th hitter and become the 111th pitcher to "accomplish" that feat.
Here are some pitchers that did walk over 1000 batters:
What do these pitcher all have in common?
They were all good pitchers who pitched less than 3000 innings in their career, while walking over 1000. They walked over 1000 hitters in less than 3000 innings and Maddux walked under 1000 in over 5000 innings.
5000 innings pitched is 13th best all time and 6th of the modern era, behind Phil Neikro, (5404 IP, 1809 BB), Nolan Ryan (5386, 2795), Gaylord Perry (5350, 1379), Don Sutton (5282, 1343), Warren Spahn (5243, 1434) and Steve Carlton (5217, 1833).
Dan Haren - Diamondbacks (2.01, 129)
Felix Hernandez - Mariners (2.51, 129)
Josh Johnson - Marlins (2.74, 109)
Wandy Rodriguez - Astros (2.81, 112)
Tim Lincecum (10-2)
Roy Halladay (10-3)
Felix Hernandez (10-3)
Wandy Rodriguez (9-6)
Josh Johnson (8-2)
Javier Vasquez (6-7)
Friday, July 17, 2009
Other interesting studies related to about political views and the DH and whether players with K in their initials strike out more than those without. Some of the studies relate to baseball, but would even have more "real-world" applications, such as circadian rhythm and worker productivity.
W. Christopher Winter, medical director of the Martha Jefferson Hospital Sleep Medicine Center, led a soon-to-be-published study, funded by Major League Baseball, showing that teams that are adjusted to their time zone have a “circadian advantage” over teams that have just traveled across the country. “Baseball is a great way to raise awareness,” says Dr. Winter, who notes that findings can apply to shift-workers. “It’s a sexy topic and it gets a lot of attention.”
Even with so many people studying baseball numbers for so long, it sounds like there is a lot left to study. With "baseball quirkologists" like Ernest Abel and Michael Kruger, both of Wayne State University, which is located in Detroit, there should be more unusual baseball studies coming in years to come.
Thursday, July 16, 2009
Now, within shouting distance (maybe not this year, but possible) are Bob Feller and Jim Palmer at 266 and 268. Amazing for a guy who was offered a coaching position in the Cubs minor league system after they released him, in 1992(!).
Albert Pujols (Cardinals)
Ryan Braun (Brewers)
Justin Morneau (Twins)
Miguel Cabrera (Tigers)
Adam Lind (Blue Jays)
50 RBI, 50 Runs, .300 BA, 10 SB, 15 HR
Albert Pujols (Cardinals)
Justin Upton (Diamondbacks)
Torii Hunter (Angels)
Nothing is really surprising, except for Adam Lind coming out of nowhere to break into a list full of former MVPs and perennial MVP-candidates. The #1 overall pick of the 2005 draft and predicted phenom Justin Upton is starting to live up the hype at 21 years old. He's not quite a superstar, but he's getting there.
In 2001, they actually "won" this stat by well over 100 strikeouts over the next highest team. The most prolific strikeouts artists in 2009, the Florida Marlins, are only on pace for 1267.
Jose Hernandez 185
Richie Sexson 178
Jeromy Burnitz 150
Geoff Jenkins 120
Other teams with 1300+ strikeouts:
2008 Florida Marlins 1371
2004 Cincinnati Reds 1335
2007 Florida Marlins 1332
2003 Cincinnati Reds 1326
2007 Tampa Bay Rays 1324
2004 Milwaukee Brewers 1312
2005 Cincinnati Reds 1303
Wednesday, July 15, 2009
Monday, July 13, 2009
Colin Timberlake presents Training Log: The Anvil of Crom - Day 10 posted at colintimberlake.com.
He uses Lou Gehrig as an inspiration for his workout routine on this day.
Sean Cochran presents Baseball as theology? posted at A Greater Glory.
This is an article in response to another article (read the article he based this post on, too) which discusses Field of Dreams and whether baseball can be considered a secular religion. The response takes on how baseball might be a great game, but it is not sufficient as a religion.
Jack Perconte presents Rambling On About My Glory Days: Toughest Pitchers I Faced posted at Jack Perconte.
This is a really interesting article if you want to read about baseball by someone who actually played it at the Major League level. You've heard of all of the pitchers he's discussing, such a Nolan Ryan (in a no-hitter) and Jack Morris. They are all either in the Hall of Fame or are in the discussion for it.
Brian Akin presents Dear (Tommy) John Letters: Sunk Costs and Signing Bonuses posted at Dear (Tommy) John Letters.
This is a blog posting by a minor league athlete who is blogging while rehabbing and takes an interesting look at the economics of organizations keeping minor league athletes in the system.
Thank you to those who submitted this week and please submit more articles for the upcoming editions.
If anyone would like to submit, please use the Carnival Submission Form. For future info, please consult the Baseball In-Depth Carnival Index Page.
Saturday, July 11, 2009
Ignore his Win-Loss Record, his numbers are great: Javier Vasquez
Best Bouncebacks: Robinson Cano and Scott Podsednik
Best Breakout speedster: Michael Bourn
Most dominant pitcher: Joe Nathan
Best we-know-he'll-have-a-high-ERA-but-he's-cheap-and-has-at-least-been-around-before: Sidney Ponson
Best late career transition from mediocre starter and decent set-up guy to sensational closer: Ryan Franklin
Still questionable on paper, but maybe they're for real: San Francisco Giants
Best rollercoaster ride: Colorado Rockies
Will Pujols outhomer them? NY Mets
Luckiest "contender" in a weak division: Chicago Cubs
Stealthiest historic season: Dan Haren
Freakiest Stat: Mariano Rivera - 43 K, 3 BB
26-10 with Manny Ramirez;
29-21 during Manny's suspension
Team Batting Average
Runs Scored by Month
The Dodgers are enjoying having his bat in the lineup, having scored over 10 runs each of the last two games after not scoring over 10 runs in a game for over 40 games. The team did have good offensive numbers in May after he was suspended (only played in 5 of 29 games), but fell off in June.
The player he was traded for, Ryan Church, is more steady, but probably has less upside.