Friday, June 18, 2010

Great pitching seasons on June 18

On June 18:
2010 Ubaldo Jimenez 13-1, 1.15 ERA
2002 Randy Johnson 10-2, 2.63 (24-4, 2.32)
1999 Pedro Martinez 12-2, 2.17 (23-4, 2.07)
1988 Orel Hershiser 13-4, 2.62 (23-8, 2.26)
1985 Dwight Gooden 9-3, 1.79 (24-4, 1.53)
1978 Ron Guidry 11-0, 1.45 (25-3, 1.74)
1972 Steve Carlton 7-6, 2.83 (27-10, 1.97)
1971 Vida Blue 14-2, 1.42 (24-8, 1.82)
1968 Bob Gibson 7-5, 1.30 (22-9, 1.12)
1968 Denny McLain 11-2, 2.06 (31-6, 1.96)
1963 Sandy Koufax 10-3, 1.63 (25-5, 1.88)

Jimenez will have less room for error with his ERA than pitchers used to, because he's not going to finish with 300+ IP like they did decades ago.  In 1968 Bob Gibson only had 34 starts, which is probably how many Jimenez will have this year, but he threw 28 complete games (and went into extra innings 4 times). 

While Gibson averaged 8.94 IP/Start, Jimenez is averaging 7.21, which would leave him with 245 at the end of the season (that would likely put him at #1 or 2 in the majors, possibly behind Roy Halladay).  He could have an ERA of 2.56 the rest of the way and still finish under 2.00. 

He's barely stumbled so far, though, so maybe 1.12 is a realistic goal now, in which case he just needs to keep this incredible pace going for the rest of the year, but improve slightly (he could allow 16 runs over his next 20 starts).

2 comments:

  1. I notice most of their ERA's were actually lowered AFTER June 18...wonder if Jimenez can do that too. Probably not, being it's soooo low already, but still wondering

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