Monday, September 13, 2010

Update: AL Cy Young Award - 2010

David Price and C.C. Sabathia had their big duel tonight in Tampa and it lived up to expectations, although neither of them went home with another win.  The Yankees won 1-0 in 11 innings, with both Sabthia and Price went 8 scoreless innings.  Sabathia lowered his ERA to 3.03, while Price lowered his to 2.75.

Strangely enough, the other serious contenders, Trevor Cahill and Clay Buchholz, also faced off.  Last Friday, they went up against each other in Oakland and went in completely opposite directions.  Cahill went 7 scoreless innings, and got the win, while Bucholtz allowed 5 ER in 1 inning, and his ERA skyrocketed. 

That outing cost Bucholtz dearly, as it leaves him with a more pedestrian ERA (2.53) and still only has 15 wins.  Cahill has a slightly higher ERA than Buchholz (2.61), but he is 16-6 now.  His WHIP is almost much better then any of them, an impressive 1.05. 

With only 15 wins, it would be very difficult for Bucholtz even if everyone else implodes, and he also only has 152 innings pitched, 20 fewer than Cahill, 33 fewer than Price and 65 (!) fewer than Sabathia.

The list of serious contenders is down to 3 (Sabathia, Price, Cahill), with Cahill as the dark horse who needs to be exceptional the rest of the year and for the frontrunners to both falter.  Cahill should have 4 more starts, so he could end up with 19 or 20 wins, which could give him a shot if Sabathia doesn't get any more wins (he's currently at 19). 

If Sabathia can get 2 more wins and keep his ERA around 3.00, the award should be his.  If he has a couple of bad outings, and fails to get more than 1 win, then Price or Cahill could sneak in.

Top Contenders
C.C. Sabathia: 19-6, 3.03 ERA, 217 IP, 1.18 WHIP
David Price: 17-6. 2.75, 186, 1.21
Trevor Cahill: 16-6, 2.61, 172.2, 1.05

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