Saturday, January 22, 2011

Lefties vs. Lefties

75+ PA vs. LHP, .900+ OPS vs. LHP (LHB, 2010)
1.003 Chase Utley (Phillies)
.966 Justin Morneau (Twins)
.953 Kelly Johnson (D-Backs)
.951 Brennan Boesch (Tigers)
.937 Adrian Gonzalez (Padres)
.926 Logan Morrison (Marlins)
.925 Carlos Gonzalez (Rockies)
.906 Nick Markakis (Orioles)

In 2010, there were 71 left handed batters with more than 75 plate appearances against left handed pitchers, and only 8 with an OPS of better than .900 in those situations.  There were also 8 in 2009, and the only repeats were Chase Utley and Kelly Johnson. 

The lowest in 2010 was Adam Lind (.312), who was 28th out of 79 in 2009 (.780).  Chase Utley was the first LHB with an OPS over 1.000 in 75+ PA since Travis Hafner in 2006.

Monday, January 17, 2011

September Surprises

There weren't too many surprises among the best offensive players in September 2010, with many elite players simply continuing their excellent play(Pujols, C. Gonzalez, Tulowitzki, A-Rod, Holliday, Crawford, Votto). 

There were other well-known but somewhat surprising players mixed in as well (Mark Ellis, Kelly Johnson, H. Matsui). There were also some surprises, which included players that have been around for a while like Ryan Raburn, but also some rookies who had played well all year but took their play to another level in September.

Top rookies: September 2010
Mike Stanton (Marlins, 21): .316, 8 HR, 19 RBI
Pedro Alvarez (Pirates, 23): .311, 5 HR, 26 RBI (T-2nd)
Ike Davis (Mets, 23): .344, 31 H, 16 R

Overall (2010) 
Mike Stanton: .259, 22 HR, 59 RBI, 396 PA
Pedro Alvarez: .256, 16 HR, 64 RBI, 386 PA
Ike Davis: .264, 19 HR, 71 RBI, 601 PA

Saturday, January 8, 2011

Hall of Fame: 2011

2011 Hall of Fame Voting (20+ %)
(1st year of eligibility: 2010) Barry Larkin 62.1% (2010 %: 51.6)
(2000) Jack Morris 53.5 (52.3)
(2003) Lee Smith 45.3 (47.3)
(2011) Jeff Bagwell 41.7
(2008) Tim Raines 37.5 (30.4)
(2010) Edgar Martinez 32.9 (36.2)
(2002) Alan Trammell 20.3 (22.4)
(2011) Larry Walker 24.3

20+ in 2010, 20- in 2011
(2010) Fred McGriff (21.5, 17.9)
(2007) Mark McGwire (23.7, 19.8)

The only people gaining traction are Barry Larkin and Tim Raines, with Larkin being the only one with any chance of being elected next year.  It will be a weak class, with Bernie Williams being the best players and he's might never make the Hall of Fame, let alone on the first ballot. 

Jack Morris has made progress, going from 37.1 in 2007 to 53.5 in 2011.  Unfortunately, he will only be eligible for 3 more years, and it's unlikely that he'll be able to get another 21% by then (especially with Maddux, Glavine, R. Johnson, etc, being eligible soon).

Tim Raines probably won't make it in next year, but this was only his 4th year of eligibility and he's increased by from 22% to 37% over the last 2 years, so he's heading in the right direction.  If Larkin improves again next year and gets near 70%, he'll be a lock at some time, because everyone who gets that close eventually gets in.  Everyone else is moving in the wrong direction, but they still have time on their side.

Sunday, January 2, 2011

Derrek Lee and the O's

.310+ BA, 130+ HR (2005-2009)
Albert Pujols (Cardinals) .334, 206 HR
Miguel Cabrera (Marlins/Tigers) .319, 164
Matt Holliday (Rockies/A's/Cardinals) .322, 138
Vladimir Guerrero (Angels) .315, 134
Derrek Lee (Cubs) .310, 131

Derrek Lee signed a 1 year deal with the Orioles (pending a physical).  He didn't hit nearly as well in 2010 (.260, 19 HR, 80 RBI), although he was better after being traded to the Braves in August (.859 OPS in 39 games vs. .751 OPS in 109 with Cubs). 

Lee might not ever have an MVP caliber season as he did in 2005 or 2009, but it's a good signing by the Orioles.  He could hit well at Camden Yards and will be motivated to show that he can still play and get another contract.  The Orioles could have their most potent offense in a long time with the additions of Lee and Mark Reynolds, to go along with Luke Scott, Nick Markakis and Adam Jones.
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