Tuesday, January 24, 2012

Players to Watch: 2012

.900+ OPS, 75-150 PA (Post All Star Break, 2011)
1.114 Adrian Beltre (Rangers)
1.061 Nick Hundley (Padres)
1.035 Chris Parmelee (Twins)
1.028 Andruw Jones (Yankees)
.967 Ryan Raburn (Tigers)
.943 Yonder Alonso (Reds)
.931 Daniel Murphy (Mets)
.915 Shelly Duncan (Indians)
.908 Jerry Sands (Dodgers)
.901 Allen Craig (Cardinals)

There are several players on this list who are not very well known, but might be worth watching.  Chris Parmelee, who was a 1st round draft pick in 2006, made his major league debut on September 6th.  It's not clear how he fits into the 2012 season for the Twins with Justin Morneau coming back, but you can to figure he'll be back before too long after his great September.

Jerry Sands was a 25th round draft pick in 2008 and was hitting .205 for the year before rejoining the team in September and hitting .342.  Sands might be on the Dodgers bench this year or he might start in the minors and get more at-bats.

Yonder Alonso was the 7th overall pick in 2008 and was traded to the Padres in December in the Mat Latos trade, likely making him the starting 1st baseman for the Padres next year. 

Saturday, January 14, 2012

Jack Morris

160+ Wins, .570+ W-L% (per decade, since 1940)
40's: Hal Newhouser
50's: Warren Spahn, Robin Roberts, Early Wynn
60's: Juan Marichal, Bob Gibson
70's: Jim Palmer, Gaylord Perry, Steve Carlton, Fergie Jenkins, Tom Seaver, Catfish Hunter, Don Sutton
80's: Jack Morris
90's: Tom Glavine, Greg Maddux
00's: None

Does this mean that Jack Morris should be in the Hall of Fame? No, but it is interesting.  A better illustration of how he compared to other pitchers from his era is that from 1979-1992, he had 233 wins with a .590 W-L%.  The closest in wins during that time period was Bob Welch with 192 wins, followed by Dave Stieb with 174 wins. 

Most wins, 14 year span
1956-1969: Don Drysdale 209 Wins
1960-1973: Juan Marichal, 238
1965-1978: Gaylord Perry 251, Fergie Jenkins 231
1974-1987: Steve Carlton, 212

This is obviously not an exhaustive list, but it shows that 233 compares well with some other time periods in recent times.

There are serious problems with Morris' Hall of Fame candidacy, although it seems to be finally picking up steam.  His ERA was high (3.90), never finished higher than 3rd for a Cy Young award, didn't have dominant walk or strikeout numbers, etc., but winning 233 games over a 14 year period (with a .590 W-L%) is impressive and unusual in modern history.

Friday, January 13, 2012

Matt Cain

220+ IP, 9 or fewer HR allowed (since 1997)
1997 Roger Clemens (Blue Jays)
1997 Greg Maddux (Braves)
1997 Andy Pettitte (Yankees)
1998 Kevin Brown (Padres)
2011 Matt Cain (Giants)
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