Sunday, February 12, 2012

BJ Upton


.245 BA or lower, 16+ HR, 35+ SB (since 1900)
1986 Barry Bonds
1993 Eric Davis
2010 BJ Upton
2011 BJ Upton

BJ Upton (Rays) has had an interesting career so far, and could still emerge as a dominant player.  He is only 27 years old despite having 3430 career PA and 5 seasons as an everyday player.  Since what appeared to be his breakout season in 2007, he has been very inconsistent:

2007: .894 OPS, 24 HR, 82 RBI, .300 BA, 22 SB
2008: .784, 9, 67, .273, 44
2009: .686, 11, 55, .241, 42
2010: .745, 18, 62, .237, 42
2011: .759, 23, 81, .243, 36

The only stat that hasn't rebounded is his BA, but at least he has continued to steal a lot of bases.  A player on a good team that plays almost every day with his speed should be scoring at least 100 runs per year. 

He has the ability to get on base (he has an OBP of .386 and .383 in 2007 and 2008), and he appears to be on the upswing on other facets of his offensive game.  This could be the year he breaks out again, and it would be a good time because he hits free agency in 2013.

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