Sunday, May 6, 2012

What should we make of the 2012 Orioles?

Orioles first 28 games, since 1997
1997: 19-9 (98-64)
1998: 15-13 (79-83)
1999: 11-17 (78-84)
2000: 15-13 (74-88)
2001: 13-15 (63-98)
2002: 13-15 (67-95)
2003: 15-13 (71-91)
2004: 16-12 (78-84)
2005: 19-9 (74-88)
2006: 14-14 (70-92)
2007: 12-16 (69-93)
2008: 16-12 (68-93)
2009: 11-17 (64-98)
2010: 7-21 (66-96)
2011: 13-15 (69-93)
2012: 19-9

The Orioles currently (and shockingly) have the best record in baseball after 28 games, with a 19-9 record (the Nats could tie them with a win tonight).  Since their last winning season in 1997, they have generally overperformed over the first 28 games, although they usually weren't exactly setting the world on fire. 

The one notable exception was 2005, when they jumped out to a great start and were leading the division by 4 games on June 11 before beginning their decline.  The 2005 collapse is undoubtedly on the minds of people connected with the Orioles, but this is a different type of team.  In 2005, they were 16-7 in April despite being ranked #23 in ERA. 

They overcame their awful pitching by scoring the most runs of any team.  They had some talented hitters (Miguel Tejada, Melvin Mora, Javy Lopez), but that wasn't sustainable.  Sure enough, their offense dropped off in May and they ended up 15th in runs scored at the end of the season.

This year, they are 2nd in ERA and 10th in runs scored.  It is a more balanced attack, but the main concern has to be that their excellent pitching isn't sustainable (they were 27th in bullpen ERA last year, and 1st this year). 

Can they sustain this (or stay somewhat close)?  The bullpen seems solid, anchored by Jim Johnson, who has been lights out.  They probably won't be the best, but it should remain a big improvement over previous years.  The starting rotation won't scare anyone, and it remains to be seen if Jason Hammel can continue his torrid start. 

Even if the Orioles don't make the playoffs, it's possible that they're like the 2001 Twins, who came out of nowhere with a bunch of young players but struggled to compete against the mighty Indians and trailed off as the season went along.  They came back and won the division the next 3 years and remained a contender for years after. 

They could also be the 2005 Orioles, but it doesn't feel that way, especially after seeing them win a 17 inning game at Fenway that they almost certainly would have lost at any other point since 1997.


  1. Just hope they don't tank. The city of Baltimore needs baseball back at the harbor

  2. This is the most excited I have been since the playoff team of 1997 and it isn't even close.
    One of the reasons for this is that this is the best bullpen we have had since then by a substantial margin. We aren't relying on Kevin Gregg and Mike Gonzalez to close out games anymore.
    Another big reason is that Chris Tillman doesn't just march out every 5th day. This team is much more accountable.
    I don't expect us to stay in 1st all year, but I do expect a competitive team that doesn't quit and that is a huge improvement.
    Check out my blog over at for more Orioles news.

  3. Compared to the blog, long the benefits of micro bo where on earth? In my humble opinions, to look at the blog, also can copy paste into word document, edge while doing reading notes read; And long micro bo couldn't do notation, read doesn't seem convenient. Why now everyone to use desean jackson nike jersey long micro Po? Whether because of long micro bo will not be deleted, and bowen can be deleted? Lai is sentenced to life, the foreign ministry spokesman said it shows that the Chinese government's determination. There are people ask, anti-corruption michael vick nike jersey determination so big, do not know of the dozens of lai bribe officials how now? To some, closing the few, BaoWai several, relocation several, advancement several, several abroad? The not clear, lai ben roethlisberger nike jersey is equal to white found. XuXiao is the history of the witnesses, also a history of participants, with her personal experience as a clue, a record that's people and things. The half is "in expanding to people, that's troy polamalu nike jersey like a thunderclap piercing the ear of name, weeks Mei English, ZhaoYiFan, making, the north island, the awn g... But in XuXiao full of rational but profound mike wallace nike jersey profound words, they are so fresh. WenJinJu, the beautiful girl from guangdong, wu3 da4 graduate philip rivers nike jersey students are reading. February 29 of meningitis since coma wake, now turn randy moss 49ers jersey courtyard to guangzhou south ICU, spending nearly every day, savings will now end. Sister write seeking social support, and stick it in the space of buildings sister took academic "Nobel" award- -at Leeds g award wang shu, yesterday to return to the Alma mater tongji jake locker nike jersey university. In the university, wang shu has never been considered an outstanding students; The Ph.D. Thesis also didn't get best paper. Wang shu said: "I am a man of intelligence, will only medium do I think the right things." Often talked about with the developers of friction, the wife taught him is the secret: accept modestly, resolute don't change

  4. what should i eat to reduce fatty liver what should i eat to reduce fatty liver what should
    i eat to reduce fatty liver

    Check out my page other names for fatty liver disease

  5. comprehensive interpretation of handbagreplica all to make this series a big success of the important features: durable, powerful and legible . Replica Watches With chronograph function, waterproof up to 200 meters (660 feet).Breitling Bentley Replica handbags Chronograph World Time lightweight B04 midnight black carbon version, equipped with high-intensity carbonization process by Rolex Dayton black titanium case; Breitling Bentley Chronograph World Time lightweight B04S, with Replica watches UK.


Site Meter