Tuesday, September 24, 2013

Who is going to win the 2013 World Series?



World Series Winners Since 2001

NL
2001: D-Backs (92 Wins)
2003: Marlins (91)
2006: Cardinals (83)
2008: Phillies (92)
2010: Giants (92)
2011: Cardinals (90)
2012: Giants (94)

AL
2002: Angels (99)
2004: Red Sox (98)
2005: White Sox (99)
2007: Red Sox (96)
2009: Yankees (103)

Won with Home Field Advantage: 2001, 2002, 2004, 2005, 2007, 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012
Won without Home Field: 2003, 2006, 2008 (all NL)

Average # of wins for NL Winners: 90.6
Average # of wins for AL Winners: 99

This may not be the most sophisticated way to predict the winner of the World Series, but we shouldn't ignore the patters from the past decade either.  The pattern is clear: when the NL wins, the team has a relatively low number of wins and the opposite is true when the AL team wins.  The team with home field advantage wins the overwhelming majority of the time.

The season win totals are incomplete, but we can get a decent idea of where it will end.

Red Sox: 95-62
A's: 94-63
Tigers: 91-66
Rays: 88- 69
Indians: 87-70

As of right now, the Red Sox and A's are losing and the Tigers are winning.  If history holds, the Red Sox are probably the only one of these teams to reach the 98+ wins that AL teams have typically had.  At this time, the Red Sox have to be considered the favorite.  They probably would be even without the recent history, but this just add to it.

Atlanta: 94-64
Cardinals: 93-65
Dodgers: 90-66
Pirates: 90-67
Reds: 90-68

The Dodgers, Reds and Pirates all have the right # of wins, but the Pirates and Reds seem likely to play in the Wild Card game, which will put them at a disadvantage.  The Dodgers seem like the most likely NL team to win.

Could it really be this simple? Maybe, for this year.  The rules will be broken, but they've been fairly consistent for a while, so I'll go with it.
 

32 comments:

  1. Now, if it's Dodgers vs Red Sox, that'll be pretty cool. They're two classic teams, and they've never faced off in the World Series before. TV ratings should be huge too, so even the networks would love it.

    ReplyDelete
  2. thank you of some of the articles I find this is one of the very interesting article to read, I like this alat bantu sex wanita

    ReplyDelete
  3. Regardless of whether you are press omega replica on the paper, plastic, or material, to aggrandize your organization's perceivability, anniversary bound time agency will work. At the aforementioned hermes replica time because the accustomed supportability and assertive variables as a capital priority, abundant organizations ambition to book on eco packs that are fabricated of actual or cotton. Anyhow already more, this is by all annual not the alone alternative; there are abundant added recyclable abstracts (like cardboard prada replica and plastic) that can be activated to anatomy new and aciculate sacks. So as a retailer, you accept acclaimed decisions to rolex replica browse for your retail business showcasing.

    ReplyDelete
  4. snapbacks wholesale, http://www.cheapsnapbacks.us.com/
    boston celtics jersey, http://www.celticsjersey.com/
    canada goose outelt, http://www.uggbootscheap.eu.com/
    new orleans saints jerseys, http://www.neworleanssaintsjerseys.us/
    chanel handbags outlet, http://www.chanelhandbags-outlet.us.com/
    washington redskins jerseys, http://www.washingtonredskinsjersey.com/
    green bay packers jerseys, http://www.greenbaypackersjersey.us/
    michael kors uk, http://www.michaelkorsbags.uk/
    converse shoes, http://www.converseshoes.us.com/
    cheap soccer jerseys, http://www.cheapsoccerjersey.net/
    pittsburgh steelers jersey, http://www.pittsburghsteelersjersey.com/
    hollister canada, http://www.hollistercanada.com/
    oakley sunglasses, http://www.oakleysunglasses-wholesale.us.com/
    oklahoma city thunder jerseys, http://www.thunderjerseystore.com/
    real madrid jersey, http://www.realmadridjerseystore.com/
    los angeles clippers, http://www.clippersjerseystore.com/
    gucci,borse gucci,gucci sito ufficiale,gucci outlet
    mlb jerseys, http://www.cheapmlbjerseys.us.com/
    instyler, http://www.instylerionicstyler.com/
    canada goose outlet, http://www.canadagooseoutlet.com.co/
    minnesota vikings jerseys, http://www.minnesotavikingsjersey.us/
    1017minko

    ReplyDelete
  5. central profiling Replica Watches engraved patterns. Elegance watch with three blue steel hands, the pointer using very iconic moon-shaped Replica handbags hollow eccentric pointer, showing a perfect deep bone marrow Breguet elegance. Rolex Dayton a 6:00 position equipped with a practical date display window, blue flowers fresh and elegant Arabic numerals.Replica watches UK This watch is equipped with a 591A self-winding mechanical movement, the movement with handbagreplica Swiss straight line lever escapement.

    ReplyDelete
  6. Coach Outlet http://www.coachoutletfactory-stores.us.com

    North Face Outlet http://www.northface-outlets.com.co

    Kate Spade Outlet http://www.katespadefactoryoutlet.in.net

    ED Hardy Outlet http://www.edhardypopsale.com

    Coach Outlet Store Online http://www.coachstoreonline.in.net

    Kate Spade Outlet http://www.katespadeoutletstore.in.net

    Cheap Jordans http://www.cheapjordansretro.us.com

    Michael Kors Outlet Store http://www.michaelkorsoutletsstores.us.com

    Coach Purses http://www.coachpurses.eu.com

    Coach Outlet http://www.coachoutlet2016.us.com

    Tory Burch Shoes http://www.toryburch-outlet.us.org

    Longchamp Outlet http://www.longchampoutlet.in.net

    Michael Kors Handbags http://www.innnov8.com

    Coach Outlet http://www.innnovate.com

    Red Bottom Shoes http://www.redbottomshoes.us.org

    Moncler Jackets http://www.monclerdownjackets.us.com

    North Face Outlet http://www.northfacestoreoutlet.in.net

    Kate Spade Outlet http://www.katespadeoutletstore.us.com

    Moncler Outlet http://www.moncleroutletonline.in.net

    Coach Factory http://www.maganates.com

    Coach Factory Outlet http://www.coachfactorysoutlet.in.net

    Kate Spade Outlet http://www.katesapdeoutlet.us.org

    Ray Ban Outlet http://www.raybanoutletstore.in.net

    Christian Louboutin Shoes http://www.christianlouboutinshoes2016.in.net

    North Face Outlet http://www.northfaceoutlets.us.org

    Coach Factory Outlet http://www.coachoutletstore.name

    Kate Spade Outlet http://www.katespadeoutletonline.name

    Coach Outlet http://www.coach-outlets.us.org

    Nike Roshe Run http://www.tanie-nikerosherun.pl

    Buty Nike Air Max http://www.airmaxsprzedazdla.pl

    Nike Air Max http://www.nikeairmax.us.org

    Red Bottom Shoes http://www.redbottomshoe.in.net

    Christian Louboutin Outlet http://www.christianlouboutinoutlet.us.org

    Balenciaga Handbags http://www.balenciagaoutlets.us.com

    Balenciaga Handbags http://www.balenciaga-handbags.us.com

    Kate Spade Outlet http://www.katespadefactoryoutlet.in.net

    Toms Shoes http://www.tomshoesoutlet.us.com

    Hermes Belt http://www.hermes-belts.us.com

    Prada Outlet http://www.pradafactoryoutlet.com

    Louis Vuitton Outlet http://www.louisvuittonsoutlet.us.com

    North Face Outlet Store http://www.northfaceoutletstore.in.net

    North Face Jackets http://www.north-face.in.net

    North Face http://www.north-faceoutlets.us.com

    Louis Vuitton Outlet http://www.louisvuitton-outlets.us.org

    Timberland Boots http://www.timberland-outlets.us.com

    Cheap Timberland Boots http://www.timberlandoutlet.us.com

    Tory Burch Outlet http://www.outlettoryburch.us.com

    Michael Kors Outlet http://www.michaelkorsoutletusa.us.com

    Ralph Lauren Outlet http://www.ralphlaurenstoreoutlet.us.com

    Gucci Shoes http://www.guccifactoryoutlet.name

    Gucci Outlet http://www.guccioutletco.us.com

    North Face Jackets http://www.northfacefactoryoutlet.us.com

    Prada Outlet http://www.pradaoutlets.in.net

    Hollister Clothing http://www.hollister-clothing.us.com

    Ferragamo Shoes http://www.ferragamoshoes.us.org

    Tiffany Outlet http://www.tiffany-outlets.us.com

    Tiffany Outlet http://www.tiffanyco-outlet.us.com

    NFL Jerseys http://www.nfljerseys.name

    Toms Outlet http://www.outlettoms.us.com

    Cheap Jordans http://www.cheapjordans.eu.com

    North Face Outlet http://www.thenorthfaceoutlet.us.org

    Michael Kors Outlet http://www.michael-korsoutletstores.us.com

    Prada Handbags http://www.pradaoutlet.us.org

    Chan Luu Sale http://www.chanluu.us.com

    Toms Outlet http://www.tomsoutletstores.us.com

    Kate Spade Outlet http://www.katespadeoutletonline.us.org

    Beats By Dr Dre http://www.beatsbydrdre.us.org

    Coach Outlet http://www.coachstoreoutlet.us.org

    Christian Louboutin Shoes http://www.christianlouboutinshoe.eu.com

    Valentino Shoes http://www.valentinoshoes.eu.com

    Michael Kors Outlet http://www.michaelkorsoutlet.us.org

    Coach Factory Outlet http://www.coachfactoryoutlet.us.org

    Coach Outlet Online http://www.coachoutletonlinestore.us.org

    Coach Purses http://www.coachpurse.us.com

    ReplyDelete

 
Site Meter