Monday, May 27, 2013

2013 could be record-breaking for players with lots of strikeouts and little power

 
20 HR or less, 155+ SO (since 1900)
  • 1900-2009 (12) 
    • 1968, 1984, 1990 (2), 1997 (2), 2001, 2002, 2004, 2003 (2), 2006
  • 2010-2012 (12)
    • 2010: 2
    • 2011: 4
    • 2012: 6
Austin Jackson (2010, 2011) and Drew Stubbs (2011, 2012) are the only players who had repeated this feat so far.

Threats for 2013 (6 or fewer HR, 47+ SO)
B.J. Upton (4 HR, 60 SO)
Rickie Weeks (3 HR, 54 SO)
Matt Kemp (2 HR, 54 SO)
Ike Davis (4 HR, 54 SO)
Ryan Howard (6 HR, 52 SO)
Drew Stubbs (3 HR, 52 SO)
Carlos Pena (3 HR, 48 SO)
Jarrod Salalamacchia (5 HR, 48 SO)
Ian Desmond (6 HR, 48 SO)
Starling Marte (5 HR, 48 SO)
Todd Frazier (6 HR, 47 SO)
Desmond Jennings (5 HR, 47 SO)

Monday, May 20, 2013

More on Pitching: Strikeout/Walk Ratio


25+ IP, 2.5+ K/BB (highest # in a season)
2012: 230
2011: 167
2010: 146
2008: 125
2006: 125

This could help explain why hitters are striking out like there is no tomorrow.  It was an all time record when there were 125 pitchers with at least 25 IP and at least a 2.5 K/BB ratio.  Four years later, the number of pitchers who did that nearly doubled, and it seems likely to continue.  While the long term trends might be easy to spot, it is stunning how rapidly some these numbers are moving.

Wednesday, May 15, 2013

More on Strikeouts


9+ K/9, 40+ IP (highest # of pitchers, since 1901)
2012: 91
2010: 69
2009: 66
2011: 61
2008: 57
2007: 54
2006: 51
2001: 49
2002: 44
2004: 43

For a preview of how it might end up in 2013, the number of pitchers with at least 9 K/9 and at least 10 IP so far is 120.

Tuesday, May 14, 2013

Team Batting Averages Continue to Slide

Average Team Batting Average
2006: .269
2007: .268
2008: .264
2009: .262
2010: .257
2011: .255
2012: .254
2013: .251

Another trend to watch, along with the skyrocketing strikeout rate.  My guess is that it holds steady for the rest of the year (average is .251 in both April and May), but it could slide even further as we get into the summer months. 

Monday, May 6, 2013

The Number of Teams with Terrible Hitting Just Keeps Getting Worse


Teams with OPS below .700
2000-2009:  8 ('01 Orioles, '02 Tigers; '03 Mets, Tigers, Dodgers; '08 Nationals, A's; '09 Giants)
2010: 5
2011: 10
2012: 7
2013: 10

Just as with the explosion of strikeouts, it is unbelievable how quickly the game has shifted in the last few years.  There are still teams at the top that can mash (Rangers, Tigers, Indians, etc.), but the number of teams that have anemic offenses just keeps getting worse.   
 
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