I originally wrote this in August of 2009, and then made some updates in May of 2010. I will be updating it throughout the season as necessary and making even more changes every offseason.
Surefire, first-ballot Hall of Famer if they retired today:
Ken Griffey Jr.
Surefire first-ballot, have not reached requisite 10 years service time in Majors (but are close):
Could retire today, but likely not first-ballot, will make it eventually:
Future first-ballot, only injuries will derail them:
Could retire today, prompt debates (need a few more good years), could be a struggle:
On track for eventual induction:
On track to be in the discussion:
Once looked like a lock, still young enough to end up in discussion, but likely out:
Might have support, but probably not enough:
Will likely retire with monster numbers and not make it:
Great numbers, but overlooked during playing career, might not bode well for induction:
Better chance than you might think, need to reach milestones, how badly do they want it?
Hall of Fame talent, but inconsistencies and/or injuries are a major issue:
Hall of Fame talent, good track record, still very early:
Had the talent, didn't find it until it was too late: