Hall of Fame List

I originally wrote this in August of 2009, and then made some updates in May of 2010.  I will be updating it throughout the season as necessary and making even more changes every offseason.

Surefire, first-ballot Hall of Famer if they retired today:
Trevor Hoffman
Mariano Rivera
Ken Griffey Jr.
Derek Jeter
Pedro Martinez
Jim Thome

Surefire first-ballot, have not reached requisite 10 years service time in Majors (but are close):
Ichiro Suzuki
Albert Pujols

Could retire today, but likely not first-ballot, will make it eventually:
Omar Vizquel
Chipper Jones
Vladimir Guerrero

Future first-ballot, only injuries will derail them:
Joe Mauer
Jonathan Papelbon
Johan Santana
Ryan Howard
Hanley Ramirez
Tim Lincecum
Ryan Braun
Evan Longoria

Could retire today, prompt debates (need a few more good years), could be a struggle:
Todd Helton
Jorge Posada

On track for eventual induction:
Miguel Cabrera
Chase Utley
Mark Teixeira
Prince Fielder
Roy Halladay
Carl Crawford
Roy Oswalt

On track to be in the discussion:
Justin Morneau
Matt Holliday
Dan Haren
Josh Beckett
David Wright
Felix Hernandez

Once looked like a lock, still young enough to end up in discussion, but likely out:
Andruw Jones
Scott Rolen

Might have support, but probably not enough:
Jason Varitek

Will likely retire with monster numbers and not make it:
Adam Dunn

Great numbers, but overlooked during playing career, might not bode well for induction:
Bobby Abreu

Better chance than you might think, need to reach milestones, how badly do they want it?
Lance Berkman
Johnny Damon
Mark Buehrle
Michael Young
Joe Nathan

Hall of Fame talent, but inconsistencies and/or injuries are a major issue:
Jake Peavy
Francisco Rodriguez
Ryan Zimmerman
Jimmy Rollins
Grady Sizemore
C.C. Sabathia
Brandon Webb
Carlos Beltran
Justin Verlander
Curtis Granderson
Alfonso Soriano
Brad Lidge
Hall of Fame talent, good track record, still very early:
Dustin Pedroia
Justin Upton
Jason Heyward
Pablo Sandoval

Had the talent, didn't find it until it was too late:
Chris Carpenter
Kevin Youkilis

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